![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDRNHZz1_3zaZSi4V4C7qXLueafxVzVF67pGBDL6CES1bJAXjyKOWThEyoqze6UiwXuSd6RzrOJ8fut2tOnXfKuLO6SadswIBEQlGUfB4H3sFgaTRvJg5PYc85ftK2Re_VeMFm/s400/BushApproval2ndTerm20070822.png)
There have been three new polls since my last update of approval of President Bush. The USA Today/Gallup poll done 8/13-16/07 found approval at 32%, disapproval at 63%. A Pew Research poll taken 8/1-18/07 got approval at 31%, disapproval at 59%, and the Fox News poll done 8/21-22/07 put approval at 33%, disapproval at 56%.
With these three polls, the trend estimate is 32.6%, a small continued gain over the previous batch of polling.
The plot below shows the six most recent polls in relation to the trend estimate.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEirSDHfch2d_5C82l8FoI6mW07tqRdwN5SOw49JKKr24Ya5da5VLZiuR4Gyzq7VGF-wLdTLtUaTYLQTl23xyq3mJYxtIsXPMtiJVqIlkRsr8WAO7Ig17uzPEzseCpNdPgH1ATCa/s400/LastSixPolls20070822.png)
None of the recent polls qualify as outliers, with all comfortably within the 95% confidence interval.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjyzEdC-e3krDTDjtONFceo9zbr3RgLiTiGmFJKziLCjl1pmxVO7OxuWfn188h_2nxcmw5tTxaHP1OW3TfIBK9GBT1jOkVLzx3O0DpWIwu_UgJp3HjYAKh4apTWjegT-SixUnPc/s400/BushResiduals20070822.png)