A quickie from Detroit Metro Airport.
Mark Blumenthal reported on an interview with Obama campaign manager David Plouffe yesterday at Pollster. Plouffe discussed the 18 states the Obama campaign sees as their target states, and Mark reported what states those were in his post.
Here we take a quick look at the polling in those states. The chart above is sorted by the Obama minus McCain margin, and shows the 95% confidence interval. The dot size is proportional to electoral vote.
Below I show the status of the states based on our polling categorization of each state.
Time to run for the plane.
5 comments:
To save everyone else the work, the Obama target states are all the "battleground" states except South Dakota, Arkansas, and South Carolina, plus Wisconsin (Dem) and Georgia (Rep).
That is, all the battleground states except the three most Republican, the least Democratic DEM state, and the second-most Democratic REP state.
I missed Oregon -- the most Democratic battleground state is not an Obama target state.
Speaking of battleground states, I saw this on the blog of Craig’s List founder, Craig Newmark, yesterday and thought it was a great concept and worth passing along:
"Hey, this is a good example of genuine grassroots democracy:
ObamaTravel.org is a platform that connects volunteers who want to travel to a swing state with financial sponsors and swing state host families. It’s sort of a political hybrid of craigslist and Team-in-Training - volunteers post profiles and solicit sponsorship from their family and friends. Sponsors can see their donations in action by following the activities of their volunteers.
... and let's remember that "community organizing" is pure grassroots democracy."
Barabbas was a community organizer.
New York, Sept.30 (ANI): The latest FOX News/Rasmussen Reports indicate that Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama has increased his lead over Republican rival John McCain in the key battleground states of Pennsylvania and Virginia.The candidates are within a single point of each other in three other battleground states -- Colorado, Florida and Ohio.
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