Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Bush Approval: AP 35%, Gallup 33%, Trend 34.4%

Two new polls continue to reinforce the estimate of stable presidential approval. The AP/Ipsos poll, taken 5/7-9/07, finds approval at 35%, disapproval at 61%. A new Gallup poll taken 5/10-13/07 has approval at 33%, disapproval at 62%. With these polls, my trend estimate is 34.4% approval.

Approval has remained between 33% and 35% since January, with scattered polls above and below but little evidence of any enduring change from that range.

The current polls do not raise any reevaluation of recent polling, so I'll just present the usual diagnostics below without further comment. See my previous posts in May on approval for a more extended discussion.