Saturday, November 12, 2005

Approval of President Bush in 2005 and 2006

Updated through polls completed 10/22/2006

2005-2006 estimate of approval of President Bush.

The blue line is the estimated support for the President at each point in time. The gray dots are the individual polls which vary randomly around the estimated support. Each poll will differ from the common trend due to sampling variation, question wording or order among other ideosyncratic factors. The estimated support is based on a local regression which can flexibly fit the trend in the polls.