Tuesday, November 08, 2005
California propositions 75 and 76 polling
The polling on Prop 75, controlling the political use of union dues shows an interesting bimodal pattern. Much of the spread is concentrated around zero, a dead tie. But there is a second mode- centered around a 20% advantage for the "yes" side. Much, but not all, of that right tail comes from early polling, but even polls in the last week find results with both sides winning.
The proposal to limit state spending (and modify previous propositions regarding spending), Prop 76 seems likely to lose. This is a case where the simple "no" percentage has been polling well over 50%, rather than both options polling below 50%.