Tuesday, November 08, 2005
California propositions 78 and 79 polling
Support for these drug discount propositions have produced polls that are both evenly divided and very spread out. One might speculate that "duelling propositions" such as these, which are common in California propositions, produce very large uncertainty among voters which is reflected in the polling. These typically produce competing propositions claiming to "solve" some problem but with each backed by different interest groups. Not only must voters discover the implications of the proposition, but they must also decide which of the alternative proposals might best accomplish their goals. Result: uncertainty.
There are also fewer polls available for these propositions than for the others, which further increases uncertainty. Bottom line on these two: who knows!